Questions and answers about the new breast cancer risk models

 

What did the researchers find?
In developing a new model to assess risks for breast cancer, the researchers identified several factors, which differed slightly between pre- and postmenopausal women. In pre-menopausal women, risk factors included greater age, higher breast density, family history of breast cancer, and a prior breast procedure. In postmenopausal women, risk factors also included ethnicity, greater body mass index, natural menopause, use of hormone therapy, and a prior false-positive mammogram, as well as the risk factors found in pre-menopausal women.

Their research appears in the September 6 issue of the Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

What was the most surprising finding?
The most surprising finding was that breast density is nearly as important as age in determining a woman's risk of developing breast cancer, even after taking into account other related factors.  For example, after adjustment for age, the risk for women with highly dense breasts was more than three times greater than that for women whose breasts were the least dense.

What is breast density?
Breast density is a measure of how well tissue can be seen on mammogram. Some tissue, such as the milk gland, is dense and appears white on an x-ray, making tumors, which also appear white, harder to see. Fatty tissue is less dense and appears clear on the x-ray, allowing better tumor detection.

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How is breast density determined?
Radiologists who examine x-rays of breast tissue assign a score of one to four based on how clear or opaque the breast tissue appears.  A score of one is the lowest and a score of four is the highest. Although this is a subjective measure by individual radiologists, there are guidelines for using the four breast density values.

How will these new findings affect breast cancer screening?
It's too soon to tell. With more research to validate the models, doctors might use breast density, along with other risk factors, to identify women who could benefit from preventive interventions or more intensive screening.  Currently, however, the models cannot be used to predict the development cancer in individual women.

What can women do to reduce their risk of breast cancer?

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How was the study conducted?
Researchers examined breast cancer risk factor data collected on more than 1 million women from the United States at the time of their screening mammogram and identified all women who were diagnosed with breast cancer within the next year. A total of 11,638 women were diagnosed with breast cancer. The information on women who did and did not develop breast cancer was used to develop and validate risk prediction models.

Who conducted the study?
Scientists involved in the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium, including:

The study was funded by the National Cancer Institute.

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